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2019-2020 China Paper Pulp Market Annual Report

Annual Report Overview

Highlights

In 2019, the global pulp industry capacity expansion slowed down with a newly added capacity of 2.83 million mt/a. However, the commissioning of numerous new pulp capacity projects is anticipated after 2019. Therein, the estimated capacity expansion in 2020 will reach 5 million mt/a, in which the majority will be SWP. From 2013 to 2018, China’s pulp import volume annual growth rate was 8.08%, and the cumulative pulp import volume in the first 7 months of 2019 was 15.17 million mt, up 6.49% Y-O-Y. The annual pulp import volume of China is estimated to reach 25.72 million mt. Due to the output reduction at lumber yards in Canada and the low HWP price, China’s SWP import volume increased marginally by 0.11% from the same period of last year during the first 7 months of 2019. In contrast, the cumulative HWP import volume of China increased by 7.53% in the same period. It is estimated that China’s pulp import layout may see minor changes, and HWP will remain as the largest in terms of import volume. The SWP import may have shrunk, but China’s import layout may improve after 2020.

In 2019, China’s pulp price mainly fluctuated downwards affected by the waste paper import prohibition policies, depreciating RMB exchange rates and the China-U。S。 trade war。 During the first 8 months, the SWP average price went down by 22% Y-O-Y, and the HWP average price went down by 15% Y-O-Y。 As the downstream paper industry enters its traditional peak season in Q3 and Q4, the pulp price may start to recover but within a limited range。 In terms of downstream demand, the pulp demand was hampered by delays in the commissioning of newly added paper capacity, the cultural paper output reduction resulting from impact of the new media as well as the excess capacity in the industry。 In the meantime, the uncertainties caused by the China-U。S trade dispute have become one of the major factors which had affected the paper industry in 2019。

The growth in China’s pulp supply continued in 2019, while the capacity expansion in the traditional downstream industries slowed down. Will the demand and supply imbalance be effectively mitigated in the domestic pulp market? How will the future imported pulp market evolve after the commissioning of the new pulp capacity in Brazil, Russia and Finland? SCI China Pulp Market Annual Report will forecast the industry development trend by comprehensive and thorough analysis of industry data and layout changes.

SCI has been closely monitoring the pulp industry information and witnessing the development of the industry since it was founded。 The 2019-2020 China Pulp Market Annual Report meets the market demand and analyzes the reasons behind the changes in supply and demand through important data changes。 Focusing on the market supply and demand, SCI researches pulp inventories in major domestic regions and analyzes the unit operating rates at pulp producers in China and the consumption structure at downstream industries, so as to systematically demonstrate the current status and future trends of the pulp and downstream industries。

Report value:

1. To provide comprehensive understandings on the changes in the pulp market through analyzing the pulp market demand and supply factors both in China and overseas.

2. To provide analysis on changes in downstream market consumption patterns and pulp demand.

3. To review the pulp price trend this year and decipher its key drivers.

4. To provide forecast for the pulp market in 2020 based on factors in regards to market fundamental changes and macro-environment.

Contents:

Part 1 Pulp Market Overview

Part 2 2014-2019 China Pulp Supply-Demand Balance Analysis

Part 3 Pulp Supply Pattern and Change Trend Analysis

3.1 2019 Global Pulp Market Analysis

3.1.1 Global Pulp Capacity Regional Distribution Statistics

3。1。2 Global Pulp Output and Apparent Consumption Volume Statistics

3.1.3 Global Commodity Pulp Shipment Volume and Inventory Statistics

3.1.4 Pulp Export Statistics from Major Pulp Producing Countries to China

3.1.5 Wood Pulp Productions and Sales Statistics of Major Listed Pulp Producers

3.2 China Pulp Market Analysis

3.2.1 China Pulp Output Analysis

3。2。2 2015-2019 Pulp Import Volume Change and Analysis

3.2.3 Pulp Import Layout Analysis

3.2.4 The Effect of Pulp Import Volume Change on China Market

3.2.5 2015-2019 Pulp Inventory at China Main Ports

3。3 2020 Pulp Supply Forecast

3.3.1 Planned Pulp Capacity Expansion Project Statistics

3.3.2 2020 Pulp Capacity Forecast

Part 4 Pulp Demand Pattern and Change Trend Analysis

4.1 Global Pulp Demand Structure

4。2 China Pulp Consumption Volume Change Trend and Analysis   

4。3 Pulp Export Volume Change and Analysis

4.4 China Pulp Consumption Structure by Industry

4.5 China Pulp Downstream Customer Size and Demand Change Analysis

4。6 Customer Size Statistics in Major Regions and Major Downstream Industries of China

4.7 2020China Downstream Industry Consumption Growth Forecast

4。8 Pulp Consumption Volume Forecast

4。9 Pulp Consumption Peak and Off Season Analysis

4。10 Pulp Downstream User Procurement Key Influencing Factor Analysis    

4.11 Operating Risks and Barriers Analysis

Part 5 Pulp Price Trend Analysis

5.1 Wood Pulp Import Price Analysis

5.1.1 China Imported Wood Pulp USD Price Trend Analysis

5.1.2 China Imported Wood Pulp Spot Price Trend Analysis

5.2 Chinese-Made Pulp Price Trend Analysis

5。2。1 Chinese-Made Wood Pulp Price Trend Analysis

5。2。2 Chinese-Made Non-Wood Pulp Price Trend Analysis

5。3 Futures Price and Spot Price Comparison Analysis

5.4 Related Product Price Co-Movement Analysis

5。5 Dissolved Pulp Price Trend Analysis

5。5。1 China Imported Dissolved Pulp Trend Analysis

5.5.2 Chinese-Made Dissolved Pulp Price Trend Analysis

Part 6 2020Pulp Industry Trend Forecast  

6.1 Pulp Price Driving Factor Future Trend Forecast

6。1。1 Interpretation on Influences of Macro-environment Factors

6。1。2 National and Industry Policy

6.1.3 Supply and Demand Balance Pattern Forecast

6.1.4 Competition Pattern Analysis and Forecast

6.1.5 Value Chain Analysis and Forecast

6。1。6 Related Product Price Co-Movement Influence Forecast

6.2 2020 Influence Extent Analysis of Major Pulp Price Drivers

6.3 2020 Pulp Price Forecast

6.3.1 2020 Imported Spot Pulp Price Trend Forecast

6.3.2 2020 Chinese-Made Non-Wood Pulp Price Trend Forecast

Appendix

1. Pulp Market Hot Topics

2. Pulp Market Annual Events

3. Methodology and Related Definition

4. Distributors List

5. Table & Charts

6. Related Product Annual Reports:

2019-2020 China Cultural and Printing Paper Market Annual Report

2019-2020 China Daily Paper Market Annual Report

2019-2020 China White Board and While Cardboard Market Annual Report
2019-2020 China Waste Paper Market Annual Report

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