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2019-2020 China PE Market Annual Report

Annual Report Overview

Highlights

The global PE capacity continued expanding steadily in 2019, and the capacity expansion was mainly in North America and Asia, especially for the LLDPE and HDPE units。 However, with the complicated and changing international economic and political situation, Sino-U。S。 trade friction and increasing risk of geopolitics, the global capacity expansion plan is likely to be blocked, and the global PE trading atmosphere is likely to change greatly。 In China, as the major ethylene projects were put into operation intensively, in 2019, there was a new round of capacity expansion in the PE industry。 The newly added capacity is expected to be around 2,300kt/a, and as of late 2019, China’s PE capacity will reach around 20,428kt/a。 The import volume will reach the highest point as well, and the total PE import volume in China will reach 16,800kt, with overall supply pressure mounting in China。 Influenced by the economic environment, the end industry was tepid over the recent years, with a low growth rate, failing to support the feedstock market。 In general, the supply-demand contradiction in the PE market will be more prominent in 2019, and the feedstock price will hit the lowest point over recent years。

In 2019, the PE industry faced complicated macro conditions, and the market competition became fiercer. Thus, the imbalance between supply and demand is likely to be more prominent. Under this circumstance, will the supply and demand in China’s PE market be unbalanced? How will China’s PE market change after the newly added PE units at home and abroad put into operation? As the Chinese-made PE supply kept increasing while the traditional downstream capacity expanded slowly, will China’s PE prices hit the lowest point? What will become the key point among downstream industries? Will there be a new orientation for PE industry to develop? All of the above highlights in the PE industry will be interpreted in this report with comprehensive data and analysis.

Based on the first-hand data of 14 years of investigation from SCI, the authoritative data published by National Bureau of Statistics, General Administration of Customs, National Development and Reform Commission, etc., this report makes analyses on China’s PE market in 2019, combining with senior industry experts, domestic major suppliers, traders and downstream factories. Scientific analysis methods and data models are used to forecast the future PE market.

Report value:

1. Showing the change of global PE trade pattern, by analyzing global and China’s PE supply-demand pattern.

2。 Showing China’s PE capacity, output, operating rate, and import and export data over the recent 5 years from multiple dimensions and analyzing the supply data of LDPE, LLDPE and HDPE respectively to show domestic PE supply pattern change。

3。 Refining the demand and clearly showing PE demand distribution through the PE demand structure, regional distribution and the consumption structure of the LDPE/LLDPE/HDPE。

4. Analyzing PE major downstream industries to find the future demand growth pole; grasping the key point of downstream procurement by combining the demand slack and peak season as well as end procurement factors.

5。 Keeping tracking the upstream and downstream inventory data, to clarify the driven factors for market prices fluctuations。

6. Guiding participants to choose feedstock through the comparative analysis of the cost and gross profit of each production process.

 

Contents

Part 1 PE Market Review

Part 2 2015-2019 PE Supply and Demand Balance Analysis

Part 3 PE Market Supply Pattern Analysis

3。1 2019 Global PE Capacity Layout Pattern

3.1.1 2019 Global PE Capacity and Layout

3.1.2 2019 Global LDPE/HDPE/LLDPE Capacity Proportion

3。1。3 2020 Global PE Capacity and Output Forecast

3.2 China PE Capacity Layout Pattern

3.2.1 2019 China PE Capacity and Layout

3.2.2 2019 China PE Capacity Proportion by Feedstock

3。2。3 2019 China PE Capacity Proportion by Enterprise

3。3 China PE Output Analysis

3。3。1 2015-2019 China PE Output and Operating Rate Analysis

3。3。2 2015-2019 China LDPE/HDPE/LLDPE Output Statistics

3.3.3 2020-2024 China PE Output and Operating Rate Forecast

3。4 International and China PE Unit Shutdown and Capacity Expansion Statistics

3.4.1 2019 China PE Unit Maintenance Statistics

3.4.2 2019 International PE Unit Maintenance Statistics

3。4。3 2019 International and China PE Unit Capacity Expansion Plan Statistics

3.4.4 2020-2024 China PE Unit Capacity Expansion Plan Statistics

3。4。5 2020-2024 International PE Unit Capacity Expansion Plan Statistics

3。5 2017-2019 China PE Import Review

3.5.1 2017-2019 China PE Import Analysis

3.5.2 LDPE/HDPE/LLDPE Import Analysis by Origin

3。5。3 LDPE/HDPE/LLDPE Import Analysis by Trade Mode

3.6 PE Inventory Data Change Analysis

3.6.1 2019 PE Inventory Analysis by Producer

3.6.2 2019 PE Inventory Analysis by Trader

3.6.3 2019 PE Inventory Analysis by Port

3。7 PE Warehouse and Logistics Status Analysis

3.7.1 PE Packaging Change Analysis

3.7.2 PE Warehouse or Logistics Change Analysis

3.8 2020 PE Market Supply Trend Forecast

Part 4 PE Demand Pattern and Change Analysis

4.1 2019 PE Demand Structure Analysis

4.1.1 2019 Global PE Demand Structure Analysis

4。1。2 2019 China PE Demand Structure Analysis

4.1.3 2019 China LDPE/HDPE/LLDPE Demand Structure Analysis

4.1.4 2019 China PE Demand Structure Analysis by Region

4.1.5 2019 China LDPE/HDPE/LLDPE Demand Structure Analysis by Region

4.2 PE Major Downstream Industries Development Status

4。2。1 2019 China Plastic Products Industry Development Status

4.2.2 2019 China Major Downstream Products Industry Development Analysis

4.2.2.1 Pipe Industry Development Analysis

4.2.2.2 Agricultural Film Industry Development Analysis

4.2.2.3 Wrapping Film Industry Development Analysis

4。3 2019 China PE Export Data Analysis

4。3。1 Export Market Review

4。3。2 Export Analysis by Destination

4。3。3 Export Market Forecast

4.4 2019 PE Application Analysis in Slack Season and Peak Season

4。5 2019 PE Downstream Users’ Procurement Key Point Analysis

4.6 2019 PE Operating Risk and Barrier Analysis

4.7 2020 PE Market Demand Trend Forecast

Part 5 2019 PE Price Trend Analysis

5。1 China PE Market Analysis

5。1。1 2019 China PE Market Trend Analysis

5.1.2 2019 Crude Oil Market and China Spot PE Price Co-Movement Analysis     

5。1。3 2019 Ethylene Market and China Spot PE Price Co-Movement Analysis      

5.1.4 2019 Coal Market and China Spot PE Price Co-Movement Analysis      

5.1.5 2019 Chinese-Made PE and Imported PE Price Spread Analysis

5.2 2019 China PE Futures Market Analysis

Part 6 2020 PE Industry Forecast

6。1 2020 PE Market Price Trend Forecast

6。2 Macro Environment and Industry Policy Interpretation and Impact

6.3 2020-2024 PE Supply-Demand Pattern Forecast

6.4 China PE Products Diversity Development Process

6.5 China PE Major Production Routes Economical Analysis

6。5。1 PE Major Production Routes and Cost Structure Comparison Analysis

6.5.2 Oil-Based PE Profit Analysis

6.5.3 Coal-Based PE Profit Analysis

6.5.4 Methanol-Based PE Profit Analysis

6.6 Upstream Feedstock Markets Forecast

6。6。1 Crude Oil Market Volatility and Influence

6.6.2 Ethylene Market Volatility and Influence

6。6。3 Coal Market Volatility and Influence

6。7 Alternative Products and Market Competition Analysis

6.7.1 Imported PE Competitiveness Analysis

6.7.2 Recycled PE Competitiveness Analysis

Appendix

Appendix 1 PE Industry Highlights

Appendix 2 Methodology & Related Definition

1. Data Statistics Standards and Calculation Methodology

2。 Forecast Model Interpretation

3. Definition and Abbreviation

Appendix 3 Tables and Charts

Appendix 4 Related Annual Reports

2019-2020 China Ethylene Market Annual Report

2019-2020 China Agricultural Film Market Annual Report

2019-2020 China EVA Market Annual Report

2019-2020 China Plastic Pipe Market Annual Report

2019-2020 China PP Market Annual Report

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